Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 72.280500 81.349071 90.651749 100.876693 111.769008 122.996378 135.414747
2025-02-16 57.697789 70.591311 84.446228 100.313342 117.859374 136.555255 157.870476
2025-02-23 49.612259 64.653807 81.378018 101.089798 123.439842 147.769674 176.037136
2025-03-02 42.947945 59.369652 78.206230 100.975397 127.347100 156.567006 191.037367
2025-03-09 38.013554 55.496548 76.124339 101.615455 131.678616 165.481481 205.856375
2025-03-16 32.996085 50.994765 72.852023 100.458683 133.589043 171.360329 216.997513
2025-03-23 30.002550 48.725476 72.028344 101.997631 138.473647 180.519170 231.780215
2025-03-30 27.544303 46.906345 71.567831 103.813004 143.557855 189.818270 246.662592
2025-04-06 24.341218 43.797752 69.239920 103.120548 145.457895 195.250137 256.944201
2025-04-13 20.876270 40.008229 65.773941 100.775004 145.155010 197.919777 263.860026
2025-04-20 19.929602 39.735526 66.896917 104.236992 151.991397 209.127957 280.885117
2025-04-27 18.619445 38.805389 67.046838 106.375629 157.136059 218.275351 295.457494
2025-05-04 16.298245 36.166559 64.745287 105.244256 158.155633 222.446501 304.155761
2025-05-11 14.236243 33.734430 62.586868 104.187859 159.187489 226.580589 312.783188
2025-05-18 12.935813 32.410741 61.914829 105.055130 162.630031 233.646657 324.938537
2025-05-25 11.494841 30.700454 60.573730 104.926986 164.723727 239.001423 334.989645
2025-06-01 10.388808 29.458973 59.846512 105.583726 167.798330 245.553756 346.494340
2025-06-08 8.962947 27.467805 57.868080 104.399553 168.380875 248.932239 354.069134
2025-06-15 8.271935 26.790981 57.866110 105.974627 172.602035 256.891676 367.298624
2025-06-22 7.694604 26.274889 58.078486 107.832286 177.190313 265.318277 381.120763
2025-06-29 6.675073 24.725639 56.557347 107.123734 178.283781 269.268721 389.368449
2025-07-06 5.472797 22.588506 53.948655 104.723343 177.005598 270.125808 393.713256
2025-07-13 5.351020 22.870323 55.357929 108.266110 183.849172 281.442868 411.177716